Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 48.7% vs Norris 51.9% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 80.7%
Defensive zone
Malkin 55.0%
Neutral zone
Malkin 63.7%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Malkin
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Malkin
Norris
Last 7: Malkin 2-5 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
2
Malkin
Norris
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
2
3
Malkin
Norris
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (776)
52.2% (542)
-4.3%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
54.4% (57)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
46.7% (30)
+53.3%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +53.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Malkin is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Malkin shoots left. Norris is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Home / Away
Malkin
Norris
Home
49.6% (405)
50.7% (351)
Away
47.5% (396)
54.0% (278)
By Period
Malkin
Norris
P1
49.6%
55.6%
P2
47.2%
49.3%
P3
48.5%
52.1%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 13:07 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 09:30 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 01:09 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 03:53 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 11:20 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 08:34 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:38 | Defensive | Josh Norris |