Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Norris 52.1% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 80.7%
Defensive zone
Norris 53.8%
Neutral zone
Malkin 63.3%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Malkin
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Malkin
Norris
Last 9: Malkin 3-6 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Norris
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
2
Malkin
Norris
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
2
3
Malkin
Norris
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
52.5% (3,057)
-6.9%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
53.7% (404)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
45.4% (240)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Malkin shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,392).
Home / Away
Malkin
Norris
Home
47.6% (5,395)
53.1% (1,856)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
51.2% (1,845)
By Period
Malkin
Norris
P1
45.9%
55.6%
P2
46.2%
51.4%
P3
45.2%
50.1%
OT
49.0%
40.5%
Final 5 min
46.0%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:12 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 10:25 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 13:07 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 09:30 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 01:09 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 03:53 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 11:20 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 08:34 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:38 | Defensive | Josh Norris |