Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Rossi 50.4% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 66.2%
Defensive zone
Rossi 85.3%
Neutral zone
Rossi 78.4%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 77.1%
22.9%
77.1%
Malkin
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Malkin
Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Rossi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Rossi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Rossi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
52.8% (400)
-7.1%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
36.1% (36)
-1.5%
On even strength, Rossi has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Malkin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Malkin shoots left. Rossi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (318).
Home / Away
Malkin
Rossi
Home
50.4% (113)
50.0% (242)
Away
39.4% (132)
51.1% (221)
By Period
Malkin
Rossi
P1
47.7%
54.9%
P2
44.9%
48.7%
P3
40.0%
47.9%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
35.3%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:11 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 06:54 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 09:38 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |