Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 48.7% vs Rossi 45.3% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 66.4%
Defensive zone
Rossi 61.1%
Neutral zone
Rossi 57.0%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Malkin
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Malkin
Rossi
Last 5: Malkin 2-3 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Rossi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
1
Malkin
Rossi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
2
Malkin
Rossi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (776)
44.5% (701)
+3.4%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
56.1% (41)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
0.0% (7)
+100.0%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Malkin is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Malkin shoots left. Rossi is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Malkin
Rossi
Home
49.6% (405)
46.8% (385)
Away
47.5% (396)
42.6% (364)
By Period
Malkin
Rossi
P1
49.6%
42.8%
P2
47.2%
43.9%
P3
48.5%
47.4%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
37.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2024 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 3 | 01:01 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:43 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 03:05 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 1 | 07:39 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |