Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.8% vs 46.4%). Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Rossi 46.5% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 57.9%
Defensive zone
Rossi 63.9%
Neutral zone
Rossi 61.1%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Malkin
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Malkin
Rossi
Last 10: Malkin 7-3 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
5
0
Malkin
Rossi
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Malkin
Rossi
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
3
Malkin
Rossi
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,073)
46.6% (2,023)
-1.0%
Power Play
50.9% (643)
47.6% (185)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
32.6% (43)
-0.4%
On power play, Malkin has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,254).
Malkin shoots left. Rossi is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,454).
Home / Away
Malkin
Rossi
Home
47.6% (5,385)
47.1% (1,122)
Away
44.0% (5,413)
45.6% (1,129)
By Period
Malkin
Rossi
P1
45.9%
47.0%
P2
46.2%
44.5%
P3
45.2%
47.6%
OT
49.0%
47.8%
Final 5 min
46.0%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.8%
Rossi
52.0%▲
49.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:11 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 06:54 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 09:38 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 12:15 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:37 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 09:28 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 04:32 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 3 | 01:01 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:43 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 03:05 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 1 | 07:39 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |