Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Malkin wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Scheifele 48.1% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 52.6%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 52.9%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 51.9%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Malkin
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Malkin
Scheifele
Last 6: Malkin 3-3 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
1
Malkin
Scheifele
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Malkin
Scheifele
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Malkin
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
47.8% (960)
+1.2%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
47.0% (219)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
60.7% (28)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Malkin is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Malkin shoots left. Scheifele is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Malkin
Scheifele
Home
52.3% (438)
50.7% (611)
Away
46.2% (418)
45.1% (596)
By Period
Malkin
Scheifele
P1
51.3%
51.4%
P2
50.8%
47.3%
P3
45.0%
45.0%
OT
0.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
51.8%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2023 | 3 | 12:02 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 3 | 01:54 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 2 | 10:27 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 05:59 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 05:51 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 05:45 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |