Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Scheifele 49.5% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 53.5%
Defensive zone
Malkin 60.6%
Neutral zone
Malkin 62.0%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Malkin
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Malkin
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Scheifele
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Malkin
Scheifele
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
2
Malkin
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
48.7% (981)
-3.2%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
53.2% (250)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
43.2% (37)
+56.8%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +56.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Malkin is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Malkin shoots left. Scheifele is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (925).
Home / Away
Malkin
Scheifele
Home
47.5% (326)
50.0% (672)
Away
44.0% (307)
48.8% (596)
By Period
Malkin
Scheifele
P1
49.3%
51.4%
P2
44.7%
45.1%
P3
42.3%
51.9%
OT
66.7%
58.3%
Final 5 min
49.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 07:41 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 05:00 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 1 | 06:32 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 1 | 06:27 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |