Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.5% vs 43.4%). Look for Barzal on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 42.8% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 44.1% vs Barzal 44.9% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Barzal 52.4%
Defensive zone
Barzal 58.8%
Neutral zone
Barzal 50.3%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Malkin
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Malkin
Barzal
Last 10: Malkin 6-4 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Barzal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
2
Malkin
Barzal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
2
Malkin
Barzal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (340)
43.3% (314)
-0.9%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
45.5% (33)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
33.3% (3)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Barzal has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Malkin is 42.8% vs right-shot opponents (159).
Malkin shoots left. Barzal is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
Malkin
Barzal
Home
43.6% (172)
39.9% (168)
Away
41.4% (186)
46.7% (182)
By Period
Malkin
Barzal
P1
43.4%
39.0%
P2
44.2%
49.1%
P3
38.7%
43.3%
OT
66.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
44.9%
30.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
42.5%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 12:29 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 11:27 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 16:43 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 14:08 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 1 | 05:28 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 1 | 00:31 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |