Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 38.3% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.0% vs Barzal 46.9% (-2.7%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 54.9%
Defensive zone
Barzal 59.5%
Neutral zone
Barzal 51.8%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Malkin
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (366)
46.6% (483)
-2.6%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
40.9% (22)
-10.9%
On power play, Barzal has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Malkin is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (128).
Malkin shoots left. Barzal is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Malkin
Barzal
Home
45.5% (202)
49.6% (242)
Away
41.4% (174)
43.3% (263)
By Period
Malkin
Barzal
P1
48.4%
42.4%
P2
41.7%
49.5%
P3
40.4%
47.7%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.6%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%