Evgeni Malkin vs Michael McCarron
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs McCarron 54.9% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 84.9%
Defensive zone
McCarron 76.2%
Neutral zone
Malkin 52.1%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Malkin
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Malkin
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Malkin
McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
62.8% (86)
-13.8%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
50.0% (2)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
44.4% (18)
+5.6%
On even strength, McCarron has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Malkin is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Malkin shoots left. McCarron is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Home / Away
Malkin
McCarron
Home
52.3% (438)
59.5% (42)
Away
46.2% (418)
59.4% (64)
By Period
Malkin
McCarron
P1
51.3%
71.0%
P2
50.8%
48.7%
P3
45.0%
61.1%
Final 5 min
51.8%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 10:38 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 06:54 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |