Evgeni Malkin vs Michael McCarron
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 48.7% vs McCarron 52.8% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 89.5%
Defensive zone
McCarron 59.3%
Neutral zone
Malkin 67.3%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 71.0%
71.0%
29.0%
Malkin
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Malkin
McCarron
Last 6: Malkin 1-5 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Malkin
McCarron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
4
Malkin
McCarron
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (776)
54.5% (618)
-6.6%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
42.1% (19)
+24.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
35.3% (34)
+64.7%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +64.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Malkin is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Malkin shoots left. McCarron is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Malkin
McCarron
Home
49.6% (405)
52.2% (339)
Away
47.5% (396)
54.2% (332)
By Period
Malkin
McCarron
P1
49.6%
53.5%
P2
47.2%
50.6%
P3
48.5%
55.9%
Final 5 min
48.3%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 03:25 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 13:39 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 02:26 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 17:33 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |