Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Paul 53.3% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 56.7%
Defensive zone
Paul 86.5%
Neutral zone
Paul 66.7%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 66.7%
33.3%
66.7%
Malkin
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Malkin
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
53.2% (327)
-7.5%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
61.4% (57)
-26.8%
On power play, Paul has a +26.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Malkin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Malkin shoots left. Paul is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Malkin
Paul
Home
50.4% (113)
54.6% (183)
Away
39.4% (132)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Malkin
Paul
P1
47.7%
56.3%
P2
44.9%
54.8%
P3
40.0%
52.4%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
35.3%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 02:30 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |