Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.8% vs Paul 52.9% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 57.1%
Defensive zone
Paul 75.7%
Neutral zone
Paul 68.7%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 68.7%
31.3%
68.7%
Malkin
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Malkin
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (211)
53.1% (277)
-8.1%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
58.7% (46)
+41.3%
On power play, Malkin has a +41.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Malkin is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Malkin shoots left. Paul is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (249).
Home / Away
Malkin
Paul
Home
51.5% (103)
52.9% (155)
Away
39.4% (109)
54.3% (197)
By Period
Malkin
Paul
P1
47.9%
55.6%
P2
47.7%
56.7%
P3
40.0%
50.8%
OT
100.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
34.1%
59.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.3%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 02:30 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |