Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Paul 50.0% (-4.2%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 70.2%
Defensive zone
Paul 73.8%
Neutral zone
Paul 50.9%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Malkin
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
48.8% (666)
-3.3%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
53.8% (65)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
60.0% (55)
+40.0%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Malkin shoots left. Paul is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Home / Away
Malkin
Paul
Home
47.5% (326)
49.7% (348)
Away
44.0% (307)
50.2% (438)
By Period
Malkin
Paul
P1
49.3%
51.0%
P2
44.7%
47.4%
P3
42.3%
51.5%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.5%
50.0%