Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 39.8% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 43.9% vs Schmaltz 36.0% (+12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 62.8%
Defensive zone
Malkin 60.9%
Neutral zone
Malkin 67.1%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Malkin
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Malkin
Schmaltz
Last 5: Malkin 3-2 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Schmaltz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Schmaltz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Malkin
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (827)
29.6% (253)
+13.1%
Power Play
63.2% (19)
50.0% (18)
+13.2%
On power play, Malkin has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Malkin is 39.8% vs right-shot opponents (299).
Malkin shoots left. Schmaltz is 28.4% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Malkin
Schmaltz
Home
45.1% (426)
33.1% (139)
Away
41.2% (420)
28.6% (133)
By Period
Malkin
Schmaltz
P1
41.3%
28.8%
P2
44.0%
31.7%
P3
44.7%
31.6%
Final 5 min
48.1%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.1%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
30.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2017 | 3 | 11:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 1, 2017 | 3 | 07:00 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 1, 2017 | 3 | 03:15 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 1, 2017 | 2 | 14:52 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 1, 2017 | 2 | 14:48 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |