Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 38.3% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.0% vs Schmaltz 48.4% (-4.1%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 50.5%
Defensive zone
Malkin 52.4%
Neutral zone
Malkin 51.0%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Malkin
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (366)
42.9% (133)
+1.1%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
55.1% (89)
-25.1%
On power play, Schmaltz has a +25.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Malkin is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (128).
Malkin shoots left. Schmaltz is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
Malkin
Schmaltz
Home
45.5% (202)
41.6% (125)
Away
41.4% (174)
54.4% (114)
By Period
Malkin
Schmaltz
P1
48.4%
40.0%
P2
41.7%
59.5%
P3
40.4%
45.0%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.6%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.7%