Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Schmaltz 49.4% (-3.4%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 57.0%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 51.3%
Neutral zone
Malkin 50.7%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Malkin
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
48.1% (268)
-2.6%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
50.5% (91)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
58.8% (17)
+41.2%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +41.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Malkin is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Malkin shoots left. Schmaltz is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Malkin
Schmaltz
Home
47.5% (326)
49.0% (206)
Away
44.0% (307)
49.4% (170)
By Period
Malkin
Schmaltz
P1
49.3%
53.6%
P2
44.7%
46.2%
P3
42.3%
50.4%
OT
66.7%
16.7%
Final 5 min
49.5%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.2%