Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Suzuki 47.5% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 66.0%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 70.9%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 52.2%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Malkin
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Malkin
Suzuki
Last 8: Malkin 3-5 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
1
Malkin
Suzuki
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
2
Malkin
Suzuki
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
Malkin
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
47.0% (1,066)
+2.0%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
49.5% (204)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
46.6% (131)
+3.4%
On power play, Malkin has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Malkin is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Malkin shoots left. Suzuki is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Home / Away
Malkin
Suzuki
Home
52.3% (438)
49.4% (686)
Away
46.2% (418)
45.3% (715)
By Period
Malkin
Suzuki
P1
51.3%
45.6%
P2
50.8%
46.9%
P3
45.0%
49.8%
OT
0.0%
38.1%
Final 5 min
51.8%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:33 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:28 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 17:10 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 03:08 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 17:40 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 14:48 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 07:48 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |