Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Suzuki 51.5% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 62.5%
Defensive zone
Malkin 62.9%
Neutral zone
Malkin 64.0%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Malkin
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Malkin
Suzuki
Last 8: Malkin 3-5 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
2
Malkin
Suzuki
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
3
Malkin
Suzuki
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
52.4% (981)
-6.9%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
50.7% (304)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
36.4% (33)
+63.6%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +63.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Malkin is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Malkin shoots left. Suzuki is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Malkin
Suzuki
Home
47.5% (326)
53.2% (645)
Away
44.0% (307)
50.1% (673)
By Period
Malkin
Suzuki
P1
49.3%
48.9%
P2
44.7%
51.5%
P3
42.3%
54.9%
OT
66.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 08:41 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 04:40 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 02:09 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 04:18 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 06:08 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 05:55 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 15:33 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 12:19 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |