Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Malkin wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Acciari 49.7% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 76.6%
Defensive zone
Acciari 69.2%
Neutral zone
Malkin 54.3%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Malkin
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Malkin
Acciari
Last 7: Malkin 3-4 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Acciari
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Acciari
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
3
Malkin
Acciari
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (807)
49.9% (337)
-3.7%
Power Play
30.4% (23)
75.0% (4)
-44.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
46.8% (62)
-13.5%
On power play, Acciari has a +44.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Malkin is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Malkin shoots left. Acciari is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Malkin
Acciari
Home
45.1% (450)
49.1% (167)
Away
46.4% (384)
50.0% (236)
By Period
Malkin
Acciari
P1
48.2%
52.4%
P2
43.5%
51.1%
P3
46.0%
45.6%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.5%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.7%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2019 | 3 | 10:59 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 10, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 10, 2019 | 2 | 02:19 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 10, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 3 | 08:55 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 11:15 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 1 | 17:48 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |