Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Acciari 53.3% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 72.1%
Defensive zone
Acciari 90.5%
Neutral zone
Acciari 71.8%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Malkin
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Malkin
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Acciari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Malkin
Acciari
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
54.5% (532)
-5.5%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
62.5% (8)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
48.8% (86)
+1.2%
On power play, Acciari has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Malkin is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Malkin shoots left. Acciari is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Malkin
Acciari
Home
52.3% (438)
56.2% (281)
Away
46.2% (418)
51.9% (345)
By Period
Malkin
Acciari
P1
51.3%
53.4%
P2
50.8%
57.1%
P3
45.0%
51.4%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 14:04 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 06:08 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 11:59 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |