Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Malkin wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Acciari 51.3% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 88.4%
Defensive zone
Acciari 88.8%
Neutral zone
Acciari 53.1%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Malkin
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
Malkin
Acciari
Last 10: Malkin 5-5 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
4
1
Malkin
Acciari
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
3
4
Malkin
Acciari
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
3
5
Malkin
Acciari
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
52.8% (3,276)
-7.2%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
48.2% (85)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
47.1% (1,061)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Malkin shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,236).
Home / Away
Malkin
Acciari
Home
47.6% (5,395)
52.0% (2,115)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
50.7% (2,307)
By Period
Malkin
Acciari
P1
45.9%
52.2%
P2
46.2%
51.5%
P3
45.2%
50.5%
OT
49.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 14:04 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 06:08 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 11:59 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 07:10 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 04:43 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 08:04 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 15:24 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 3 | 04:36 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 2 | 15:14 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 1 | 14:06 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 10, 2019 | 3 | 10:59 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 10, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 10, 2019 | 2 | 02:19 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 10, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 3 | 08:55 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 11:15 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 1 | 17:48 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 3 | 05:47 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 2 | 02:37 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |