Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Patrick on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Malkin wins 42.8% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 44.1% vs Patrick 52.1% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 66.1%
Defensive zone
Patrick 50.2%
Neutral zone
Malkin 59.9%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Malkin
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Malkin
Patrick
Last 8: Malkin 3-5 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
0
Malkin
Patrick
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
4
Malkin
Patrick
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
1
Malkin
Patrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (340)
51.2% (371)
-8.8%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
62.2% (37)
-15.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
59.1% (22)
-59.1%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +59.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Malkin is 42.8% vs right-shot opponents (159).
Malkin shoots left. Patrick is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Malkin
Patrick
Home
43.6% (172)
48.5% (231)
Away
41.4% (186)
57.3% (199)
By Period
Malkin
Patrick
P1
43.4%
52.0%
P2
44.2%
52.3%
P3
38.7%
53.2%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
44.9%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
42.5%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2021 | 2 | 06:18 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 09:29 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 09:57 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 14:42 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 14:40 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 11:38 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 3 | 13:29 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 2 | 14:46 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |