Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 38.3% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.0% vs Patrick 48.9% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 60.5%
Defensive zone
Patrick 54.3%
Neutral zone
Malkin 53.3%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Malkin
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Malkin
Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Patrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
1
Malkin
Patrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
1
Malkin
Patrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (366)
47.4% (156)
-3.4%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
56.3% (16)
-26.3%
On power play, Patrick has a +26.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Malkin is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (128).
Malkin shoots left. Patrick is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (112).
Home / Away
Malkin
Patrick
Home
45.5% (202)
43.8% (96)
Away
41.4% (174)
53.9% (76)
By Period
Malkin
Patrick
P1
48.4%
44.4%
P2
41.7%
45.6%
P3
40.4%
56.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.6%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 11:51 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 08:05 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |