Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Patrick on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Malkin wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Patrick 51.0% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Patrick leads 15-13 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 73.7%
Defensive zone
Patrick 58.9%
Neutral zone
Malkin 55.6%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Malkin
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
15
(28 meetings)
13
15
Malkin
Patrick
Last 10: Malkin 4-6 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
7
1
Malkin
Patrick
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
1
8
Malkin
Patrick
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Patrick
5
6
Malkin
Patrick
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
50.6% (1,978)
-5.0%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
57.5% (120)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
57.7% (26)
-25.5%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Malkin shoots left. Patrick is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,441).
Home / Away
Malkin
Patrick
Home
47.6% (5,395)
49.7% (1,106)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
52.5% (1,018)
By Period
Malkin
Patrick
P1
45.9%
52.9%
P2
46.2%
49.1%
P3
45.2%
51.3%
OT
49.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 11:51 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 08:05 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| May 4, 2021 | 2 | 06:18 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 09:29 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 09:57 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 14:42 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 14:40 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 11:38 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 3 | 13:29 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 2 | 14:46 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 3 | 08:02 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 3 | 01:07 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 3 | 00:50 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 14:41 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 07:51 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 04:11 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 1 | 16:23 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 1 | 12:06 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |