Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 38.3% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.0% vs Gagner 47.5% (-3.1%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 73.6%
Defensive zone
Gagner 78.8%
Neutral zone
Gagner 55.4%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Malkin
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (366)
51.3% (158)
-7.3%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
66.7% (36)
-36.7%
On power play, Gagner has a +36.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Malkin is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (128).
Malkin shoots left. Gagner is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Malkin
Gagner
Home
45.5% (202)
53.2% (154)
Away
41.4% (174)
40.0% (150)
By Period
Malkin
Gagner
P1
48.4%
35.6%
P2
41.7%
52.7%
P3
40.4%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
34.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.6%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%