Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.8% vs 45.9%). Look for Malkin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Gagner 46.0% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 62.0%
Defensive zone
Gagner 55.8%
Neutral zone
Gagner 52.0%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Malkin
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Malkin
Gagner
Last 7: Malkin 3-4 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Malkin
Gagner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
1
Malkin
Gagner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
2
Malkin
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,073)
45.4% (4,699)
+0.2%
Power Play
50.9% (643)
51.5% (928)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
35.0% (226)
-2.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,544).
Malkin shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Malkin
Gagner
Home
47.6% (5,385)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
44.0% (5,413)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Malkin
Gagner
P1
45.9%
44.6%
P2
46.2%
46.1%
P3
45.2%
47.3%
OT
49.0%
42.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.8%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2019 | 3 | 04:41 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 10:01 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 16:35 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 14:04 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 09:32 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 04:40 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 07:07 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |