Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 48.7% vs Monahan 54.5% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 87.7%
Defensive zone
Malkin 67.4%
Neutral zone
Malkin 75.4%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 71.5%
71.5%
28.5%
Malkin
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Malkin
Monahan
Last 5: Malkin 1-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Malkin
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Malkin
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (776)
57.1% (871)
-9.2%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
53.1% (262)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.6% (139)
+55.4%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +55.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Malkin is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Malkin shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Malkin
Monahan
Home
49.6% (405)
55.3% (644)
Away
47.5% (396)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Malkin
Monahan
P1
49.6%
53.9%
P2
47.2%
55.3%
P3
48.5%
54.4%
OT
100.0%
76.5%
Final 5 min
48.3%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 01:38 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 11:40 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 17:13 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 18:48 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 15:28 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |