Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Monahan 52.4% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 76.9%
Defensive zone
Malkin 58.4%
Neutral zone
Malkin 64.8%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Malkin
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Malkin
Monahan
Last 6: Malkin 2-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Malkin
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Malkin
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
52.4% (853)
-6.9%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
58.6% (174)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
46.5% (144)
+53.5%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +53.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Malkin shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Malkin
Monahan
Home
47.5% (326)
53.4% (624)
Away
44.0% (307)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Malkin
Monahan
P1
49.3%
53.7%
P2
44.7%
52.4%
P3
42.3%
51.6%
OT
66.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.5%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 09:24 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 01:47 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 01:33 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 08:56 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 14:05 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |