Evgeni Malkin vs William Karlsson
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 76.5%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 64.5%
Neutral zone
Malkin 59.1%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Malkin
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Malkin
Karlsson
Last 9: Malkin 4-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
0
Malkin
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
4
Malkin
Karlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
55.3% (897)
-6.3%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
61.1% (113)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
50.8% (132)
-0.8%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Malkin shoots left. Karlsson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (752).
Home / Away
Malkin
Karlsson
Home
52.3% (438)
58.6% (560)
Away
46.2% (418)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Malkin
Karlsson
P1
51.3%
55.8%
P2
50.8%
55.6%
P3
45.0%
55.7%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 11:18 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 03:15 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 11:20 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 05:22 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 05:17 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 14:35 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 03:59 | Neutral | William Karlsson |