Evgeni Malkin vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 22 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 39-28 in 67 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 86.9%
Defensive zone
Malkin 67.7%
Neutral zone
Malkin 77.4%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 78.0%
78.0%
22.0%
Malkin
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
39
(67 meetings)
28
39
Malkin
Karlsson
Last 10: Malkin 5-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
16
11
Malkin
Karlsson
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
6
16
Malkin
Karlsson
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
6
12
Malkin
Karlsson
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
51.8% (7,849)
-6.2%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
54.8% (1,048)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
44.2% (1,109)
-12.0%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Malkin shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Home / Away
Malkin
Karlsson
Home
47.6% (5,395)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Malkin
Karlsson
P1
45.9%
50.3%
P2
46.2%
51.3%
P3
45.2%
52.4%
OT
49.0%
44.9%
Final 5 min
46.0%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 11:18 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 03:15 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 11:20 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 05:22 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 05:17 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 14:35 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 03:59 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 2 | 08:19 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 2 | 04:19 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 10:08 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 1 | 04:47 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 12:12 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 03:05 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 2 | 13:03 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 2 | 02:22 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |