Auston Matthews vs Evgeny Kuznetsov
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kuznetsov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Kuznetsov 44.0% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 81.8%
Defensive zone
Matthews 95.6%
Neutral zone
Matthews 92.0%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 90.9%
90.9%
9.1%
Matthews
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Matthews
Kuznetsov
Last 6: Matthews 5-1 Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Kuznetsov
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Kuznetsov
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
1
Matthews
Kuznetsov
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
43.3% (980)
+13.0%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
47.0% (115)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
40.8% (71)
+9.2%
On even strength, Matthews has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Matthews shoots left. Kuznetsov is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
Matthews
Kuznetsov
Home
60.7% (572)
43.9% (602)
Away
52.4% (657)
43.1% (564)
By Period
Matthews
Kuznetsov
P1
60.3%
43.2%
P2
55.6%
41.5%
P3
53.3%
45.2%
OT
45.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
54.5%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 11:11 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 13:45 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 3 | 19:34 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 1 | 02:35 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 1 | 00:15 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |