Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on neutral-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kuznetsov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Kuznetsov 44.2% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 24-11 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 83.0%
Defensive zone
Ryan 98.2%
Neutral zone
Ryan 95.4%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 91.4%
91.4%
8.6%
Ryan
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
11
(35 meetings)
24
11
Ryan
Kuznetsov
Last 10: Ryan 4-6 Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
8
6
Ryan
Kuznetsov
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
8
4
Ryan
Kuznetsov
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
8
1
Ryan
Kuznetsov
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
43.9% (8,296)
+12.7%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
49.4% (633)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
38.2% (272)
+9.6%
On even strength, Ryan has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Kuznetsov is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,083).
Home / Away
Ryan
Kuznetsov
Home
56.2% (2,559)
44.8% (4,622)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
43.4% (4,579)
By Period
Ryan
Kuznetsov
P1
55.1%
43.6%
P2
54.7%
45.8%
P3
56.0%
42.8%
OT
58.3%
43.2%
Final 5 min
52.5%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2022 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 3 | 09:04 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 9, 2022 | 2 | 00:05 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 3, 2019 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 3, 2019 | 2 | 11:44 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 3, 2019 | 1 | 18:23 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 19:30 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 04:13 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 15:50 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 07:43 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 30, 2018 | 2 | 02:35 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 3 | 09:54 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 05:19 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 00:41 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 08:48 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 09:57 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 07:34 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |