Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.0% vs Compher 51.3% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 63.0%
Defensive zone
Compher 86.2%
Neutral zone
Compher 59.9%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Kuznetsov
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kuznetsov
Compher
Last 5: Kuznetsov 3-2 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
3
0
Kuznetsov
Compher
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
2
Kuznetsov
Compher
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (980)
52.2% (471)
-8.9%
Power Play
47.0% (115)
65.6% (61)
-18.6%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (71)
41.6% (125)
-0.8%
On power play, Compher has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Kuznetsov is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Compher is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Compher
Home
43.9% (602)
54.4% (362)
Away
43.1% (564)
47.8% (295)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Compher
P1
43.2%
49.6%
P2
41.5%
53.6%
P3
45.2%
51.4%
OT
55.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.6%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2022 | 2 | 12:43 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 07:02 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 05:28 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 01:24 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 10:24 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |