Scouting Report
Evgeny Kuznetsov holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.1% vs Hughes 38.6% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 69.4%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 91.0%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 81.5%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 78.1%
78.1%
21.9%
Kuznetsov
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Kuznetsov
Hughes
Last 7: Kuznetsov 6-1 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kuznetsov
Hughes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
5
0
Kuznetsov
Hughes
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (747)
35.6% (362)
+7.9%
Power Play
46.3% (41)
38.5% (91)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (15)
33.3% (9)
-6.6%
On even strength, Kuznetsov has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Kuznetsov is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (566).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (277).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Hughes
Home
43.7% (414)
37.6% (255)
Away
42.9% (389)
34.3% (207)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Hughes
P1
43.7%
28.5%
P2
44.1%
39.2%
P3
42.1%
40.8%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.3%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 01:48 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 01:08 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 19:41 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 3 | 13:07 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 3 | 04:08 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 1 | 04:48 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |