Scouting Report
Evgeny Kuznetsov holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 47.7% vs Hughes 37.9% (+12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 52.1%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 70.9%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 50.3%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Kuznetsov
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Kuznetsov
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
2
Kuznetsov
Hughes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
0
Kuznetsov
Hughes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
0
Kuznetsov
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (927)
34.9% (444)
+12.8%
Power Play
53.5% (71)
50.0% (14)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (71)
33.3% (6)
+6.1%
On even strength, Kuznetsov has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Kuznetsov is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Hughes is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Hughes
Home
45.9% (534)
37.4% (235)
Away
49.2% (535)
33.2% (229)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Hughes
P1
44.8%
37.1%
P2
52.1%
33.7%
P3
44.5%
34.8%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
32.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.5%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 08:25 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 15:43 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 03:16 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 10:50 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |