Scouting Report
Evgeny Kuznetsov holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 45.6% vs Hughes 40.3% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 79.3%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 57.9%
Neutral zone
Hughes 54.2%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Kuznetsov
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kuznetsov
Hughes
Last 5: Kuznetsov 2-3 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
2
Kuznetsov
Hughes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
2
1
Kuznetsov
Hughes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (613)
35.6% (281)
+8.8%
Power Play
58.8% (68)
50.0% (36)
+8.8%
On even strength, Kuznetsov has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Kuznetsov is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Hughes
Home
48.6% (370)
38.4% (198)
Away
41.4% (377)
35.3% (119)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Hughes
P1
44.3%
44.3%
P2
49.6%
34.2%
P3
41.4%
34.0%
Final 5 min
41.1%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
45.0%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2024 | 1 | 14:13 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 25, 2023 | 3 | 02:46 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 25, 2023 | 3 | 00:34 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 25, 2023 | 1 | 14:00 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 25, 2023 | 1 | 01:04 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |