Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +17.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.0% vs Tavares 59.8% (-17.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 51.9%
Defensive zone
Tavares 62.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 60.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Kuznetsov
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Kuznetsov
Tavares
Last 6: Kuznetsov 3-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
3
2
Kuznetsov
Tavares
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Kuznetsov
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (980)
60.9% (1,043)
-17.6%
Power Play
47.0% (115)
60.4% (278)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (71)
47.6% (21)
-6.8%
On even strength, Tavares has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Kuznetsov is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Tavares
Home
43.9% (602)
63.5% (684)
Away
43.1% (564)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Tavares
P1
43.2%
60.3%
P2
41.5%
60.4%
P3
45.2%
60.1%
OT
55.6%
92.3%
Final 5 min
49.6%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 07:29 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 10:06 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 06:21 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 12:21 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 1 | 08:43 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 1 | 06:24 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |