Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 45.6% vs Tavares 58.7% (-14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 83.2%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 78.2%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 79.7%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 79.4%
79.4%
20.6%
Kuznetsov
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Kuznetsov
Tavares
Last 7: Kuznetsov 0-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Kuznetsov
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
4
Kuznetsov
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Kuznetsov
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (613)
59.2% (1,035)
-14.8%
Power Play
58.8% (68)
60.0% (310)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (66)
42.9% (7)
-6.5%
On even strength, Tavares has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Kuznetsov is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Tavares
Home
48.6% (370)
57.5% (668)
Away
41.4% (377)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Tavares
P1
44.3%
58.0%
P2
49.6%
60.1%
P3
41.4%
61.0%
OT
42.9%
27.8%
Final 5 min
41.1%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
45.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | OT | 00:40 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 14:49 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 01:08 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 06:27 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 07:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 17:17 | Defensive | John Tavares |