Evgeny Kuznetsov vs Nathan MacKinnon
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.0% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 74.8%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 62.1%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 55.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Kuznetsov
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Kuznetsov
MacKinnon
Last 8: Kuznetsov 3-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
4
Kuznetsov
MacKinnon
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
3
1
Kuznetsov
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (980)
45.8% (755)
-2.5%
Power Play
47.0% (115)
48.3% (60)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (71)
27.6% (29)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Kuznetsov has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Kuznetsov is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Kuznetsov shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
MacKinnon
Home
43.9% (602)
49.5% (396)
Away
43.1% (564)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Kuznetsov
MacKinnon
P1
43.2%
50.2%
P2
41.5%
43.8%
P3
45.2%
41.4%
OT
55.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.6%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 10:46 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 2 | 09:00 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 2 | 05:27 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 16:54 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 12:08 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 16:21 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 16:13 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 09:09 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |