Evgeny Kuznetsov vs Nathan MacKinnon
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Kuznetsov wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 45.6% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 50.7%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 57.7%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 50.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Kuznetsov
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Kuznetsov
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kuznetsov
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
0
Kuznetsov
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
0
Kuznetsov
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (613)
45.5% (1,190)
-1.1%
Power Play
58.8% (68)
56.4% (94)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (66)
40.0% (30)
-3.6%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Kuznetsov is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Kuznetsov shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
MacKinnon
Home
48.6% (370)
47.8% (670)
Away
41.4% (377)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Kuznetsov
MacKinnon
P1
44.3%
45.3%
P2
49.6%
48.5%
P3
41.4%
45.0%
OT
42.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.1%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
45.0%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 07:38 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 07:26 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 04:20 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 02:36 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |