Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 38.7% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 39.7% vs Zacha 49.0% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 13-3 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 89.4%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 86.6%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 88.4%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 88.1%
88.1%
11.9%
Kuznetsov
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
13
(16 meetings)
3
13
Kuznetsov
Zacha
Last 10: Kuznetsov 2-8 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
5
Kuznetsov
Zacha
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
4
Kuznetsov
Zacha
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
4
Kuznetsov
Zacha
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
39.0% (960)
47.8% (619)
-8.8%
Power Play
37.8% (45)
58.6% (29)
-20.8%
Penalty Kill
27.8% (18)
54.7% (64)
-26.9%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Kuznetsov is 38.7% vs left-shot opponents (695).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Zacha is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (499).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Zacha
Home
40.3% (533)
50.8% (394)
Away
36.9% (490)
46.5% (318)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Zacha
P1
37.8%
48.5%
P2
41.5%
51.2%
P3
36.4%
47.6%
OT
50.0%
16.7%
Final 5 min
31.8%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
38.7%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2018 | 3 | 13:37 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 3 | 13:17 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 1 | 00:55 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 06:24 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 04:12 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 00:05 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 07:15 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 02:54 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 02:49 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 1 | 18:33 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 1 | 08:59 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 1 | 06:09 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 1 | 03:08 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 1 | 02:38 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 1 | 00:36 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 1 | 00:28 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |