Scouting Report
Evgeny Kuznetsov holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 47.7% vs Zacha 46.5% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 54.0%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 66.4%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 56.1%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Kuznetsov
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kuznetsov
Zacha
Last 6: Kuznetsov 4-2 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kuznetsov
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
2
1
Kuznetsov
Zacha
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
0
Kuznetsov
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (927)
45.3% (247)
+2.4%
Power Play
53.5% (71)
58.1% (31)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (71)
22.2% (18)
+17.2%
On penalty kill, Kuznetsov has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Kuznetsov is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Zacha is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Zacha
Home
45.9% (534)
39.7% (131)
Away
49.2% (535)
49.7% (165)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Zacha
P1
44.8%
42.9%
P2
52.1%
46.4%
P3
44.5%
42.3%
OT
75.0%
87.5%
Final 5 min
45.2%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.5%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 07:13 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 18:52 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 17:54 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 16:50 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 15:41 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |