Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 45.6% vs Zacha 54.4% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 54.7%
Defensive zone
Zacha 50.8%
Neutral zone
Zacha 52.0%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Kuznetsov
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kuznetsov
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kuznetsov
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (613)
53.9% (787)
-9.5%
Power Play
58.8% (68)
63.2% (193)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (66)
44.3% (88)
-7.9%
On even strength, Zacha has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Kuznetsov is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Zacha
Home
48.6% (370)
56.7% (538)
Away
41.4% (377)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Zacha
P1
44.3%
52.6%
P2
49.6%
54.8%
P3
41.4%
56.8%
OT
42.9%
59.1%
Final 5 min
41.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
45.0%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 14:45 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |