Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.3% vs 43.3%). Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.1% vs Zacha 44.2% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 62.5%
Defensive zone
Zacha 55.1%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 51.3%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Kuznetsov
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kuznetsov
Zacha
Last 6: Kuznetsov 2-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
3
Kuznetsov
Zacha
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kuznetsov
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
0
Kuznetsov
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (747)
42.8% (514)
+0.7%
Power Play
46.3% (41)
51.9% (79)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (15)
36.1% (61)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Kuznetsov is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (566).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Zacha is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Zacha
Home
43.7% (414)
45.0% (289)
Away
42.9% (389)
41.9% (365)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Zacha
P1
43.7%
47.4%
P2
44.1%
43.8%
P3
42.1%
37.7%
OT
42.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.7%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.3%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 2 | 16:17 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 2 | 15:59 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 06:42 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 11:13 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 3 | 00:42 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |