Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 39.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 42.8% vs Zacha 51.3% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 84.9%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 67.5%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 73.1%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 73.6%
73.6%
26.4%
Kuznetsov
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Kuznetsov
Zacha
Last 10: Kuznetsov 3-7 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kuznetsov
Zacha
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
6
Kuznetsov
Zacha
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
3
Kuznetsov
Zacha
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (471)
53.3% (411)
-11.9%
Power Play
44.4% (18)
51.8% (114)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
42.0% (81)
-17.0%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Kuznetsov is 39.1% vs left-shot opponents (256).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Zacha is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Zacha
Home
43.0% (223)
52.2% (295)
Away
40.0% (270)
50.8% (311)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Zacha
P1
37.3%
50.5%
P2
40.2%
51.3%
P3
48.9%
52.0%
OT
0.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
44.1%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
41.4%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2021 | 3 | 11:52 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 3 | 05:09 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 2 | 09:28 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 18:48 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 08:45 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 04:36 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 1 | 17:04 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 19:56 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 16:55 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 13:32 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 13:21 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 06:20 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 10:20 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 03:10 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 2 | 13:14 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |