Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 41.5% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.5% vs Gagner 48.0% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 59.9%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 61.6%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 57.6%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Kuznetsov
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kuznetsov
Gagner
Last 5: Kuznetsov 2-3 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
2
Kuznetsov
Gagner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
2
1
Kuznetsov
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (962)
46.5% (310)
-3.7%
Power Play
57.7% (71)
50.4% (115)
+7.3%
On power play, Kuznetsov has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Kuznetsov is 41.5% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Gagner is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Gagner
Home
42.6% (493)
52.4% (212)
Away
45.2% (544)
42.7% (213)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Gagner
P1
44.0%
46.2%
P2
47.2%
52.2%
P3
40.8%
43.6%
OT
38.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.6%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.0%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 04:25 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 18:02 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 05:38 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 00:46 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 00:41 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |