Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.2% vs Gagner 46.0% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Kuznetsov leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 60.6%
Defensive zone
Gagner 60.8%
Neutral zone
Gagner 60.7%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Kuznetsov
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
6
(19 meetings)
13
6
Kuznetsov
Gagner
Last 10: Kuznetsov 7-3 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
3
2
Kuznetsov
Gagner
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
6
2
Kuznetsov
Gagner
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
4
2
Kuznetsov
Gagner
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (8,296)
45.4% (4,699)
-1.5%
Power Play
49.4% (633)
51.5% (928)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (272)
35.0% (226)
+3.2%
On penalty kill, Kuznetsov has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Kuznetsov is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,083).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Gagner
Home
44.8% (4,622)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
43.4% (4,579)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Gagner
P1
43.6%
44.6%
P2
45.8%
46.1%
P3
42.8%
47.3%
OT
43.2%
42.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 19:07 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 09:09 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 08:57 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 11:52 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 2 | 19:22 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 2 | 10:38 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 1 | 18:46 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 1 | 15:13 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 04:25 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 18:02 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 05:38 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 00:46 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 00:41 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 7, 2016 | 1 | 10:25 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 02:43 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 14:27 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 07:31 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 1 | 07:20 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 1 | 16:09 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |