Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Kuznetsov wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.0% vs Gagner 47.5% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 64.7%
Defensive zone
Gagner 88.1%
Neutral zone
Gagner 67.3%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 70.5%
29.5%
70.5%
Kuznetsov
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Kuznetsov
Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
0
Kuznetsov
Gagner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
2
0
Kuznetsov
Gagner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (980)
51.3% (158)
-8.0%
Power Play
47.0% (115)
66.7% (36)
-19.7%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (71)
33.6% (110)
+7.2%
On power play, Gagner has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Kuznetsov is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Gagner is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Gagner
Home
43.9% (602)
53.2% (154)
Away
43.1% (564)
40.0% (150)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Gagner
P1
43.2%
35.6%
P2
41.5%
52.7%
P3
45.2%
51.9%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
34.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 19:07 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 09:09 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 08:57 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |