Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.1% vs Kuraly 49.0% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 86.5%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 60.8%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 74.7%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Kuznetsov
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Kuznetsov
Kuraly
Last 10: Kuznetsov 3-7 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kuznetsov
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Kuznetsov
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
4
Kuznetsov
Kuraly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (747)
52.4% (416)
-8.9%
Power Play
46.3% (41)
57.1% (7)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (15)
32.0% (97)
-5.3%
On power play, Kuraly has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Kuznetsov is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (566).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Kuraly is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Kuraly
Home
43.7% (414)
52.1% (259)
Away
42.9% (389)
45.4% (262)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Kuraly
P1
43.7%
46.8%
P2
44.1%
52.4%
P3
42.1%
47.2%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 13:29 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 05:37 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 01:08 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 11, 2019 | 3 | 02:53 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 11, 2019 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 11, 2019 | 1 | 17:34 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 14:27 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 11:53 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |