Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.0% vs Kuraly 49.5% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 17-7 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 96.9%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 69.0%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 83.6%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 79.0%
79.0%
21.0%
Kuznetsov
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
17
(24 meetings)
7
17
Kuznetsov
Kuraly
Last 10: Kuznetsov 1-9 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Kuznetsov
Kuraly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
11
Kuznetsov
Kuraly
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
3
Kuznetsov
Kuraly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (980)
52.3% (982)
-9.0%
Power Play
47.0% (115)
41.9% (43)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (71)
39.2% (245)
+1.6%
On even strength, Kuraly has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Kuznetsov is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Kuraly is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Kuraly
Home
43.9% (602)
50.3% (680)
Away
43.1% (564)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Kuraly
P1
43.2%
49.5%
P2
41.5%
49.6%
P3
45.2%
49.0%
OT
55.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.6%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 02:48 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 17:57 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 14:32 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 14:25 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 01:51 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 09:48 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 10:38 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 19:46 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 19:21 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 19:15 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 17:03 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 08:11 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2 | 11:23 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2 | 09:00 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2 | 08:33 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2 | 00:34 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 1 | 17:55 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |